Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.441652 5.287755 6.228695 7.349440 8.644560 10.090638 11.823842
2025-07-27 3.386173 4.520872 5.910251 7.722759 10.009304 12.781209 16.376935
2025-08-03 2.592254 3.815816 5.440152 7.723689 10.814973 14.813245 20.327003
2025-08-10 1.972246 3.169880 4.878310 7.442065 11.128982 16.165277 23.472508
2025-08-17 1.539350 2.681352 4.419913 7.184935 11.377554 17.381126 26.477515
2025-08-24 1.273942 2.385680 4.179123 7.180646 11.945364 19.048781 30.213413
2025-08-31 1.072968 2.150457 3.984701 7.201331 12.523800 20.750263 34.107245
2025-09-07 0.896844 1.920462 3.755904 7.121330 12.912181 22.169240 37.658832
2025-09-14 0.720169 1.651278 3.411975 6.789110 12.831852 22.819173 40.032074
2025-09-21 0.614897 1.499798 3.254673 6.757571 13.243743 24.278859 43.788277
2025-09-28 0.527169 1.365952 3.107900 6.720540 13.631143 25.713487 47.589738
2025-10-05 0.496744 1.352092 3.195900 7.138650 14.878029 28.703455 54.207810
2025-10-12 0.448739 1.290067 3.179662 7.357665 15.791551 31.210391 60.229030
2025-10-19 0.416140 1.258965 3.225247 7.708215 16.991230 34.321554 67.530340
2025-10-26 0.362355 1.161784 3.108576 7.702055 17.486759 36.180480 72.716801
2025-11-02 0.299935 1.025837 2.879173 7.419025 17.390047 36.918458 75.900848
2025-11-09 0.249246 0.909276 2.675079 7.161973 17.313633 37.676827 79.156211
2025-11-16 0.218403 0.843599 2.586221 7.157504 17.768181 39.492350 84.513334
2025-11-23 0.192769 0.787451 2.512361 7.178071 18.276080 41.444355 90.247287
2025-11-30 0.166783 0.722753 2.403945 7.098281 18.549043 42.934369 95.161227
2025-12-07 0.136329 0.632755 2.207549 6.767008 18.209877 43.129645 97.501707
2025-12-14 0.119303 0.586780 2.130344 6.735557 18.566944 44.808251 102.935587
2025-12-21 0.104362 0.544086 2.055064 6.698633 18.905499 46.466741 108.420692